Lobos' NCAA history rife with stories of infamy

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/17/2010 -

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (AP) -New Mexico has one of the most famous arenas in college basketball and a devoted legion of hoops-crazy fans.

Something the Lobos have never had? Two straight victories in the NCAA tournament.

``Never gotten out of the second round?'' Mountain West player of the year Darington Hobson asked.

Correct.

Going into Thursday's opener, New Mexico is 6-12 in 11 previous NCAA appearances. The Lobos (29-4) are seeded No. 3 in the East Region against No. 14 Montana (22-9) in San Jose, Calif., and coach Steve Alford said the only game that matters is the next one.

``What we've done in the NCAA tournament, whether it be good, bad or indifferent, I don't think it has any impact on what these guys are going to do,'' he said. ``I don't know if any of these guys would even know what teams in the past have done in the NCAA tournament.''

Good thing, because it's not exactly bragging material.

In the 1974 tournament, the Lobos went 2-1 after winning their opener, losing in the second round at a regional site and then winning the regional consolation game.

Consolations are no longer played, not that it matters now.

``We don't look at the past too much,'' said All-Mountain West point guard Dairese Gary. ``We had great teams before us but we're a new generation, a new time. We just want to focus on the present, try to do what we can do and try to set new records and make new goals.''

It's not just that the Lobos have never sustained an NCAA run. It's the way some previous teams have lost that spawned horror stories.

What's the most infamous example?

Sorry, but it's difficult to choose just one.

How about the storied 1978 team that included Michael Cooper and held a No. 12 national ranking? After winning the Western Athletic Conference with a 13-1 record, the Lobos - in the days of the first-round bye - played in the NCAAs at nearby Tempe, Ariz.

One win would have returned them to The Pit for the regional semifinals. But Cal State Fullerton spoiled the fiesta with a shocking 90-85 upset.

And check out what happened in 1994. The Lobos won the WAC tournament, earned a No. 5 seed in the NCAAs and went to Tucson, Ariz., to face No. 12 George Washington.

They were finished before leaving the hotel. On the eve of that game, several players dined on the most notorious snack in New Mexico basketball history - the dreaded chili cheese fries that had them up most of the night and ill the next day. George Washington won 82-68.

The Lobos have also missed opportunities against big-time programs in the NCAA tournament.

In 1996, New Mexico ended a 22-year drought of NCAA wins by beating Kansas State, then faced Georgetown. The Lobos led 35-32 at halftime, but Allen Iverson scored 19 of his 25 points after the break and New Mexico's Kenny Thomas got into foul trouble as the Hoyas won 73-62.

The next year, the Lobos had a No. 3 seed - highest in school history until this year's team matched it. After beating Old Dominion in the opener, the Lobos faced Louisville and came within a basket of reaching the Round of 16.

Trailing 64-63, New Mexico forced a turnover with 16 seconds remaining, but Charles Smith - still the school's career scoring leader - passed up a jumper from the wing and tossed the ball to David Gibson, who missed an off-balance shot at the horn.

After that came second-round losses to Syracuse and Connecticut, which went on to win the 1999 title.

In 2005, the Danny Granger-led Lobos won the Mountain West tournament. But against Villanova in the NCAAs, they shot 18 percent and scored 11 first-half points. New Mexico rallied and got within 52-47 with 29 seconds left before losing 55-47.

This year's Lobos are eager to write a new chapter.

They've punctured many of the old syndromes that plagued New Mexico through the years by notching a school-record 29 wins, including 10 road victories and 12 wins overall away from The Pit while assembling 12- and 15-game winning streaks.

``Why not one more run for this team?'' said the only senior, Roman Martinez. ``We're athletic. We're young and inexperienced, but we have great leadership in Coach Alford. We have the conference MVP and a first-team all-league player. We're just trying to stretch this thing out.''Copyright © 2005 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. The information contained in the AP News report may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without the prior written authority of The Associated Press.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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